Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Cagliari Calcio β but SS Lazio won instead.

Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)
Resolved SS Lazio. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Cagliari Calcio. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
7
Cagliari Calcio 67%
$4.8
-$273.49
Smart Money Signal
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CA CannaeCTR | Cagliari Calcioavg 2.9Β’ | $113.69 | β | -$139.33 | 53% 16119-14285 (30404) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Cagliari Calcioavg 2.8Β’ | $85.48 | β | -$134.28 | 49% 13022-13588 (26610) |
![]() HRTrading<$100 | SS Lazioavg 97.5Β’ | $4.68 | $4.8 | +$0.12 | 53% 5642-5057 (10699) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Cagliari Calcioavg 3.8Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 59% 46920-33177 (80097) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | SS Lazioavg 88Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 50% 33863-33445 (67308) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Cagliari Calcioavg 3.6Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 50% 25666-25500 (51166) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Cagliari Calcioavg 3.1Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 56% 14240-11046 (25286) |
Invested
$113.69
Value
β
PnL
-$139.33
Record
53%
16119-14285 (30404)
Invested
$85.48
Value
β
PnL
-$134.28
Record
49%
13022-13588 (26610)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$4.68
Value
$4.8
PnL
+$0.12
Record
53%
5642-5057 (10699)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
46920-33177 (80097)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
33863-33445 (67308)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
25666-25500 (51166)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
14240-11046 (25286)
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