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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.

Exact Score: SS Lazio 2 - 1 Cagliari Calcio?

Resolved Yes. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

No 67%

Total Value

$523.42

Combined PnL

$367.03

Smart Money Signal

No

6 of 10 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%

No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes4 traders

Total Value$523.42

Total Shares523

Combined PnL+$391.66

No6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares100

Combined PnL-$24.63

Yes — 40%No — 60%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
UP UpTheBlues	Yesavg 15.4¢	$73.21	$458.42	+$385.21	59% 46920-33177 (80097)
LU LuckyLoo<$100	Yesavg 78.5¢	$58.72	$65	+$6.28	49% 13022-13588 (26610)
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100	Noavg 14.8¢	$4.66	—	-$4.66	48% 8966-9599 (18565)
0X 0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191CTR<$100	Noavg 20¢	$6	—	-$6	47% 4653-5172 (9825)
poshposhCTR<$100	Noavg 22¢	$4.97	—	-$4.97	58% 10670-7658 (18328)
0X 0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000CTR<$100	Noavg 55¢	$9	—	-$9	42% 2258-3075 (5333)
RN1CTR<$100	Noavg 82.9¢	—	—	+$0	54% 57170-49418 (106588)
SN SnakeBall<$100	Yesavg 24¢	—	—	+$0	50% 33863-33445 (67308)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100	Noavg 88¢	—	—	+$0	58% 42700-31074 (73774)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100	Yesavg 99¢	$19.8	—	+$0.18	85% 5888-1004 (6892)

Invested

$73.21

Value

$458.42

PnL

+$385.21

Record

59%

46920-33177 (80097)

Invested

$58.72

Value

$65

PnL

+$6.28

Record

49%

13022-13588 (26610)

topdogbigboiCTR<$100

Invested

$4.66

Value

—

PnL

-$4.66

Record

48%

8966-9599 (18565)

0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191CTR<$100

Invested

$6

Value

—

PnL

-$6

Record

47%

4653-5172 (9825)

poshposhCTR<$100

Invested

$4.97

Value

—

PnL

-$4.97

Record

58%

10670-7658 (18328)

0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000CTR<$100

Invested

$9

Value

—

PnL

-$9

Record

42%

2258-3075 (5333)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

54%

57170-49418 (106588)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

33863-33445 (67308)

VeryLucky888CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

58%

42700-31074 (73774)

ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100

Invested

$19.8

Value

—

PnL

+$0.18

Record

85%

5888-1004 (6892)

Smart Money Signal

No

6 of 10 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x99c8e766...f995af

Slug

sea-laz-cag-2026-11-01-exact-score-2-1

Traders in this Market

UpTheBlues

Yes — $458.42

LuckyLoo

Yes — $65

topdogbigboi

No — $0

0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191

No — $0

poshposh

No — $0

0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000

No — $0

RN1

No — $0

SnakeBall

Yes — $0

VeryLucky888

No — $0

ARTEM-DZYUBA

Yes — $0

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