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RN1CTRYes
HRTrading<$100No
poshposhCTR<$100YesNoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Hibernian FC end in a draw?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 67%
Total Value
$3
Combined PnL
-$215.62
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,116
Combined PnL-$215.12
No3 traders
Total Value$3
Total Shares3
Combined PnL-$0.5
Yes — 40%No — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RN1CTR | Yesavg 26¢ | $210.27 | — | -$211.6 | 54% 57187-49444 (106631) |
HRTrading<$100 | Noavg 78¢ | $3.5 | $3 | -$0.5 | 53% 5677-5082 (10759) |
poshposhCTR<$100 | Yesavg 44¢ | $3.52 | — | -$3.52 | 58% 10691-7671 (18362) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Noavg 73.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 25689-25525 (51214) |
BE Betziko<$100 | Noavg 68¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 6435-5416 (11851) |
RN1CTRInvested
$210.27
Value
—
PnL
-$211.6
Record
54%
57187-49444 (106631)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$3.5
Value
$3
PnL
-$0.5
Record
53%
5677-5082 (10759)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$3.52
Value
—
PnL
-$3.52
Record
58%
10691-7671 (18362)
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
25689-25525 (51214)
BE
Betziko<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
6435-5416 (11851)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9b554146...e83fbe
Slug
sclc-hom-hib-2026-11-01-draw