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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?
Resolved No. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
53
No 55%
Total Value
$37.5K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
29 of 53 top traders (55%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1d78389c...cf5192
Slug
russia-ukraine-peace-talks-by-october-31-2026