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Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the December 2026 meeting?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Dec 9
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Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes3%
No97%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance4.1%
2.9¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.2¢ fee (Economics 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$2315.63
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
2415.6
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x501074d6...4eb9b1
Slug
reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-increases-interest-rates-by-50-bps-at-the-december-2026-meeting-20260908230600006