Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was LOS β but Geekay Esports won instead.

Rainbow Six Siege: LOS vs Geekay Esports (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Osaka Phase 2 - Swiss Stage
Resolved Geekay Esports. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held LOS. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
8
LOS 71%
$61
-$97.63
Smart Money Signal
6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100 | Geekay Esportsavg 64.2Β’ | $21.82 | $34 | +$12.18 | 27% 141-378 (519) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Geekay Esportsavg 88.2Β’ | $23.81 | $27 | +$3.19 | 47% 218-247 (465) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | LOSavg 25.2Β’ | $20.22 | β | -$20.22 | 53% 5602-5022 (10624) |
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100 | LOSavg 35.3Β’ | $5.3 | β | -$5.3 | 30% 246-578 (824) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100 | LOSavg 37Β’ | $2.69 | β | -$2.69 | 40% 251-371 (622) |
![]() alpheclabs2CTR<$100 | LOSavg 8.5Β’ | $56.3 | β | -$56.3 | 46% 103-121 (224) |
VV VVVSSPCTR<$100 | LOSavg 19.9Β’ | $8.24 | β | -$8.24 | 25% 15-46 (61) |
![]() VeryLucky888CTR | LOSavg 37.6Β’ | $165.68 | β | -$20.26 | 52% 410-384 (794) |
Invested
$21.82
Value
$34
PnL
+$12.18
Record
27%
141-378 (519)
Invested
$23.81
Value
$27
PnL
+$3.19
Record
47%
218-247 (465)
Invested
$20.22
Value
β
PnL
-$20.22
Record
53%
5602-5022 (10624)
Invested
$5.3
Value
β
PnL
-$5.3
Record
30%
246-578 (824)
Invested
$2.69
Value
β
PnL
-$2.69
Record
40%
251-371 (622)
alpheclabs2CTR<$100Invested
$56.3
Value
β
PnL
-$56.3
Record
46%
103-121 (224)
Invested
$8.24
Value
β
PnL
-$8.24
Record
25%
15-46 (61)
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$165.68
Value
β
PnL
-$20.26
Record
52%
410-384 (794)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
Geekay Esports β $34
lryyy
Geekay Esports β $27
cigarettes
CTRLOS β $0
ameisgoat11
CTRLOS β $0
omnibus-076daa
CTRLOS β $0

alpheclabs2
CTRLOS β $0
VVVSSP
CTRLOS β $0

VeryLucky888
CTRLOS β $0