Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Cloud9 β but Weibo Gaming won instead.

Rainbow Six Siege: Cloud9 vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Osaka Phase 2 - Swiss Stage
Resolved Weibo Gaming. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Cloud9. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
9
Cloud9 86%
$59
-$99.62
Smart Money Signal
7 of 9 top traders (78%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() dips.<$100 | Weibo Gamingavg 69Β’ | $40.71 | $59 | +$18.29 | 45% 125-154 (279) |
IC ic4creamCTR | Cloud9avg 63Β’ | $89.1 | β | -$89.1 | 0% 0-332 (332) |
LR lryyyCTR<$100 | Cloud9avg 18.7Β’ | $86.5 | β | -$17.37 | 55% 77-63 (140) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100 | Cloud9avg 23Β’ | $0.01 | β | -$0.01 | 20% 50-202 (252) |
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100 | Cloud9avg 60.7Β’ | $5.58 | β | -$5.58 | 18% 55-248 (303) |
BI biying88888CTR<$100 | Cloud9avg 58Β’ | $5.8 | β | -$5.8 | 19% 30-131 (161) |
GA GaditimaCTR | Cloud9avg 4Β’ | $117.28 | β | -$0.05 | 49% 40-42 (82) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Cloud9avg 43Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 46% 175-208 (383) |
GL glennyorkshire<$100 | Weibo Gamingavg 43.9Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 54% 20-17 (37) |
dips.<$100Invested
$40.71
Value
$59
PnL
+$18.29
Record
45%
125-154 (279)
Invested
$89.1
Value
β
PnL
-$89.1
Record
0%
0-332 (332)
Invested
$86.5
Value
β
PnL
-$17.37
Record
55%
77-63 (140)
Invested
$0.01
Value
β
PnL
-$0.01
Record
20%
50-202 (252)
Invested
$5.58
Value
β
PnL
-$5.58
Record
18%
55-248 (303)
Invested
$5.8
Value
β
PnL
-$5.8
Record
19%
30-131 (161)
Invested
$117.28
Value
β
PnL
-$0.05
Record
49%
40-42 (82)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
46%
175-208 (383)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
20-17 (37)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market

dips.
Weibo Gaming β $59
ic4cream
CTRCloud9 β $0
lryyy
CTRCloud9 β $0
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
CTRCloud9 β $0
ameisgoat11
CTRCloud9 β $0
biying88888
CTRCloud9 β $0
Gaditima
CTRCloud9 β $0
cigarettes
CTRCloud9 β $0
glennyorkshire
Weibo Gaming β $0