Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Al Ahli Doha SC β but Al Shahaniya won instead.
Spread: Al Ahli Doha SC (-1.5)
Resolved Al Shahaniya. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Al Ahli Doha SC. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
7
Al Ahli Doha SC 75%
$47.8
-$47.63
Smart Money Signal
6 of 7 top traders (86%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() HRTrading<$100 | Al Shahaniyaavg 82.7Β’ | $41.87 | $47.8 | +$5.93 | 52% 4004-3650 (7654) |
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100 | Al Ahli Doha SCavg 30Β’ | $42.9 | β | -$42.9 | 58% 28421-20980 (49401) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Al Ahli Doha SCavg 12.6Β’ | $4.56 | β | -$4.56 | 38% 3209-5230 (8439) |
![]() poshposhCTR<$100 | Al Ahli Doha SCavg 12Β’ | $3.06 | β | -$6.1 | 59% 9935-6911 (16846) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Al Ahli Doha SCavg 29.7Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 59% 45380-31733 (77113) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Al Ahli Doha SCavg 25Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 50% 33199-32726 (65925) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Al Ahli Doha SCavg 17.3Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 50% 24858-24564 (49422) |
HRTrading<$100Invested
$41.87
Value
$47.8
PnL
+$5.93
Record
52%
4004-3650 (7654)
Invested
$42.9
Value
β
PnL
-$42.9
Record
58%
28421-20980 (49401)
Invested
$4.56
Value
β
PnL
-$4.56
Record
38%
3209-5230 (8439)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$3.06
Value
β
PnL
-$6.1
Record
59%
9935-6911 (16846)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45380-31733 (77113)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
33199-32726 (65925)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
24858-24564 (49422)
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