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HRTradingCTR<$100YesNoYesNo
VeryLucky888<$100No
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Al Shahaniya win on 2026-10-30?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$1.03
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares4
Combined PnL-$1.03
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 40%No — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HRTradingCTR<$100 | Yesavg 25¢ | $1.03 | — | -$1.03 | 52% 4004-3650 (7654) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Noavg 95¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 45380-31733 (77113) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 33199-32726 (65925) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Noavg 71¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 24858-24564 (49422) |
VeryLucky888<$100 | Noavg 74.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 41507-30134 (71641) |
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$1.03
Value
—
PnL
-$1.03
Record
52%
4004-3650 (7654)
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45380-31733 (77113)
SN
SnakeBallCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
33199-32726 (65925)
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
24858-24564 (49422)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
41507-30134 (71641)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x78d57719...840eec
Slug
qat1-sha-ahl-2026-10-30-sha