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Under
HRTrading<$100OverOverUnderOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Moreirense FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: O/U 0.5
Resolved Over. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 50%
Total Value
$5.01
Combined PnL
-$6.16
Smart Money Signal
Under
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares26
Combined PnL-$6.17
Over3 traders
Total Value$5.01
Total Shares5
Combined PnL+$0.01
Under — 40%Over — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FO fooooolCTR<$100 | Underavg 24¢ | $6.17 | — | -$6.17 | 50% 10919-10736 (21655) |
HRTrading<$100 | Overavg 99.9¢ | $5 | $5.01 | +$0.01 | 53% 4792-4312 (9104) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Overavg 73¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 45969-32302 (78271) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Underavg 10¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 25208-24935 (50143) |
US User7429<$100 | Overavg 98¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 8315-6706 (15021) |
FO
fooooolCTR<$100Invested
$6.17
Value
—
PnL
-$6.17
Record
50%
10919-10736 (21655)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$5
Value
$5.01
PnL
+$0.01
Record
53%
4792-4312 (9104)
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45969-32302 (78271)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
25208-24935 (50143)
US
User7429<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
8315-6706 (15021)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1ca8c789...6e4c95
Slug
por-mor-ama-2026-10-31-total-0pt5