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Yes
VeryLucky888CTR<$100No
0xheavy888CTR<$100NoYesNo
HRTradingCTR<$100No
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Moreirense FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: Both Teams to Score
Resolved Yes. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
No 100%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$413.97
Combined PnL
-$175.92
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares391
Combined PnL-$175.92
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 80%Yes — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FO fooooolARB<$100 | Yesavg 32.3¢ | $193.7 | $413.97 | +$220.27 | 50% 10919-10736 (21655) |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 32.3¢ | $133.64 | $413.97 | +$280.33 | |
| └ No leg | Noavg 59.2¢ | $60.06 | — | -$60.06 | |
VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Noavg 44¢ | $86.22 | — | -$86.22 | 58% 42027-30514 (72541) |
0xheavy888CTR<$100 | Noavg 46¢ | $89.7 | — | -$89.7 | 55% 7136-5731 (12867) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Yesavg 40.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 45969-32302 (78271) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Noavg 45¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 12681-13099 (25780) |
HRTradingCTR<$100 | Noavg 49¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 4792-4312 (9104) |
FO
fooooolARB<$100Invested
$193.7
Value
$413.97
PnL
+$220.27
Record
50%
10919-10736 (21655)
Both legs:
Yes$133.6432.3¢+$280.33
No$60.0659.2¢-$60.06
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$86.22
Value
—
PnL
-$86.22
Record
58%
42027-30514 (72541)
0xheavy888CTR<$100Invested
$89.7
Value
—
PnL
-$89.7
Record
55%
7136-5731 (12867)
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45969-32302 (78271)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
12681-13099 (25780)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
4792-4312 (9104)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x528b273c...d7b4d8
Slug
por-mor-ama-2026-10-31-btts