Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Wisla Krakow win on 2026-10-31?
Resolved No. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
11
Yes 67%
$14.75
-$231.29
Smart Money Signal
6 of 11 top traders (55%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FO fooooolCTR<$100 | Yesavg 22.9¢ | $57.45 | — | -$61.76 | 50% 10987-10819 (21806) |
 HRTrading<$100 | Noavg 78.5¢ | $11.58 | $14.75 | +$3.17 | 53% 5014-4502 (9516) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Yesavg 21.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 46230-32531 (78761) |
 RN1CTR<$100 | Yesavg 4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 56824-49050 (105874) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Noavg 96.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 33606-33156 (66762) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 25353-25122 (50475) |
MO Momo63<$100 | Noavg 95.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 93% 867-61 (928) |
SP spyGoodLuck77CTR | Yesavg 5¢ | $175 | — | -$175 | 63% 1786-1060 (2846) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 48% 8249-8767 (17016) |
CA Cannae<$100 | Noavg 77¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 16036-14210 (30246) |
 VeryLucky888<$100 | Noavg 77¢ | $7.7 | — | +$2.3 | 58% 42202-30652 (72854) |
Invested
$57.45
Value
—
PnL
-$61.76
Record
50%
10987-10819 (21806)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$11.58
Value
$14.75
PnL
+$3.17
Record
53%
5014-4502 (9516)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
46230-32531 (78761)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
56824-49050 (105874)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
33606-33156 (66762)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
25353-25122 (50475)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
93%
867-61 (928)
Invested
$175
Value
—
PnL
-$175
Record
63%
1786-1060 (2846)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
48%
8249-8767 (17016)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
16036-14210 (30246)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$7.7
Value
—
PnL
+$2.3
Record
58%
42202-30652 (72854)
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