Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Club Alianza Lima win on 2026-10-29?
Resolved No. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Yes 60%
$46.61
-$157.03
Smart Money Signal
3 of 9 top traders (33%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 HRTrading<$100 | Noavg 70.8¢ | $32.05 | $40.32 | +$8.27 | 52% 3834-3490 (7324) |
 VeryLucky888CTR | Yesavg 35¢ | $244.1 | — | -$154.5 | 58% 41344-29975 (71319) |
VD VD721lsj4938Dk388<$100 | Noavg 64¢ | $4.02 | $6.28 | +$2.26 | 55% 1712-1414 (3126) |
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100 | Yesavg 35¢ | $1.75 | — | -$2.05 | 47% 2216-2502 (4718) |
 tradecraftCTR<$100 | Yesavg 8.9¢ | $6.5 | — | -$6.5 | 51% 5947-5637 (11584) |
CC ccllar<$100 | Noavg 51.5¢ | $20.15 | $0.02 | -$4.51 | 46% 411-482 (893) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Noavg 63¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 45216-31591 (76807) |
 RN1<$100 | Noavg 84.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 56110-48247 (104357) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Noavg 83¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 24765-24464 (49229) |
HRTrading<$100Invested
$32.05
Value
$40.32
PnL
+$8.27
Record
52%
3834-3490 (7324)
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$244.1
Value
—
PnL
-$154.5
Record
58%
41344-29975 (71319)
Invested
$4.02
Value
$6.28
PnL
+$2.26
Record
55%
1712-1414 (3126)
Invested
$1.75
Value
—
PnL
-$2.05
Record
47%
2216-2502 (4718)
tradecraftCTR<$100Invested
$6.5
Value
—
PnL
-$6.5
Record
51%
5947-5637 (11584)
Invested
$20.15
Value
$0.02
PnL
-$4.51
Record
46%
411-482 (893)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45216-31591 (76807)
RN1<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
56110-48247 (104357)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
24765-24464 (49229)
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