Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
CS Cienciano vs. CA Grau: O/U 3.5
Resolved Under. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Over 67%
$10.47
-$6.26
Smart Money Signal
7 of 9 top traders (78%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 HRTrading<$100 | Underavg 73.2¢ | $7.66 | $10.47 | +$2.81 | 53% 3488-3134 (6622) |
0X 0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191CTR<$100 | Overavg 17¢ | $0.87 | — | -$0.97 | 47% 4484-4969 (9453) |
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100 | Overavg 40.5¢ | $8.1 | — | -$8.1 | 47% 2131-2421 (4552) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Overavg 20.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 44951-31350 (76301) |
 RN1CTR<$100 | Overavg 40¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 55949-48067 (104016) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Overavg 8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 24602-24271 (48873) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Underavg 89¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 32976-32521 (65497) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Overavg 38.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 12328-12593 (24921) |
 poshposhCTR<$100 | Overavg 38.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 9580-6566 (16146) |
HRTrading<$100Invested
$7.66
Value
$10.47
PnL
+$2.81
Record
53%
3488-3134 (6622)
Invested
$0.87
Value
—
PnL
-$0.97
Record
47%
4484-4969 (9453)
Invested
$8.1
Value
—
PnL
-$8.1
Record
47%
2131-2421 (4552)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
44951-31350 (76301)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
55949-48067 (104016)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
24602-24271 (48873)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
32976-32521 (65497)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
12328-12593 (24921)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
9580-6566 (16146)
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