Back to Markets
NoYesYesYes
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will CD Garcilaso win on 2026-10-28?
Resolved No. 20% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 50%
Total Value
$6.03
Combined PnL
-$3.24
Smart Money Signal
No
1 of 5 top traders (20%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No1 trader
Total Value$6.03
Total Shares6
Combined PnL+$0.01
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares15
Combined PnL-$3.25
No — 20%Yes — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR Dreamwire<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $6.03 | $6.03 | +$0.01 | 83% 2497-515 (3012) |
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100 | Yesavg 21.7¢ | $3.25 | — | -$3.25 | 47% 2102-2381 (4483) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Yesavg 21.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 44789-31177 (75966) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Yesavg 25.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 24471-24125 (48596) |
VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Yesavg 19¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 40917-29601 (70518) |
DR
Dreamwire<$100Invested
$6.03
Value
$6.03
PnL
+$0.01
Record
83%
2497-515 (3012)
AM
ameisgoat11CTR<$100Invested
$3.25
Value
—
PnL
-$3.25
Record
47%
2102-2381 (4483)
UP
UpTheBluesCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
44789-31177 (75966)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
24471-24125 (48596)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
40917-29601 (70518)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x9cfce3c1...bb8187
Slug
per1-caa-cdg-2026-10-28-cdg