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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was The Gatos Guapos — but Falcons won instead.

Overwatch: Falcons vs The Gatos Guapos (BO5) - OCS Asia Stage 3 Group A

Resolved Falcons. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held The Gatos Guapos. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

The Gatos Guapos 67%

Total Value

$89.33

Combined PnL

-$17.72

Smart Money Signal

The Gatos Guapos

4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Falcons100%

The Gatos Guapos0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Falcons4 traders

Total Value$89.33

Total Shares89

Combined PnL+$1.84

The Gatos Guapos4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares348

Combined PnL-$19.56

Falcons — 50%The Gatos Guapos — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
LO looppau<$100	Falconsavg 99.9¢	$53.42	$53.47	+$0.05	100% 362-0 (362)
0X 0x17bec72f65b07cacd12000a0ba0ba162b6b7c52b<$100	Falconsavg 95¢	$34.02	$35.81	+$1.79	— 8-3 (11)
SU suntoriCTR<$100	The Gatos Guaposavg 6¢	$9.52	—	-$9.52	47% 1493-1672 (3165)
CI cigarettesCTR<$100	The Gatos Guaposavg 6¢	$5.7	—	-$5.7	53% 6071-5438 (11509)
0X 0x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69CTR<$100	The Gatos Guaposavg 5¢	$2.91	—	-$2.91	57% 87-65 (152)
GA GaditimaCTR<$100	The Gatos Guaposavg 4¢	$1.43	—	-$1.43	47% 158-181 (339)
NO NotJump	Falconsavg 50¢	$525	$0.05	+$0	54% 417-355 (772)
HY hydra1248<$100	Falconsavg 95¢	$34.02	—	+$0	78% 122-34 (156)

Invested

$53.42

Value

$53.47

PnL

+$0.05

Record

100%

362-0 (362)

0x17bec72f65b07cacd12000a0ba0ba162b6b7c52b<$100

Invested

$34.02

Value

$35.81

PnL

+$1.79

Record

—

8-3 (11)

suntoriCTR<$100

The Gatos Guapos

Invested

$9.52

Value

—

PnL

-$9.52

Record

47%

1493-1672 (3165)

cigarettesCTR<$100

The Gatos Guapos

Invested

$5.7

Value

—

PnL

-$5.7

Record

53%

6071-5438 (11509)

0x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69CTR<$100

The Gatos Guapos

Invested

$2.91

Value

—

PnL

-$2.91

Record

57%

87-65 (152)

GaditimaCTR<$100

The Gatos Guapos

Invested

$1.43

Value

—

PnL

-$1.43

Record

47%

158-181 (339)

Invested

$525

Value

$0.05

PnL

+$0

Record

54%

417-355 (772)

Invested

$34.02

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

78%

122-34 (156)

Smart Money Signal

The Gatos Guapos

4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xaeb7afe2...a92470

Slug

ow-fal-tgg-2026-11-12

Traders in this Market

looppau

Falcons — $53.47

0x17bec72f65b07cacd12000a0ba0ba162b6b7c52b

Falcons — $35.81

suntori

The Gatos Guapos — $0

cigarettes

The Gatos Guapos — $0

0x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69

The Gatos Guapos — $0

Gaditima

The Gatos Guapos — $0

NotJump

Falcons — $0.05

hydra1248

Falcons — $0

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