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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will O'Reilly (ORLY) beat quarterly earnings?
Resolved Yes. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
No 60%
Total Value
$90.1
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xdec92f6b...2d695d
Slug
orly-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-10-28-2026-0pt95