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OverUnder
poshposh<$100OverUnderOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Blues vs. Red Wings: O/U 7.5
Resolved Over. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
4
Under 67%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$577.36
Combined PnL
-$138.13
Smart Money Signal
Under
2 of 4 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares304
Combined PnL-$174.87
Over2 traders
Total Value$70.7
Total Shares71
Combined PnL+$36.73
Under — 50%Over — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TO topdogbigboiARB<$100 | Overavg 38.9¢ | $267.02 | $506.66 | +$239.65 | 49% 8081-8480 (16561) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 38.9¢ | $196.87 | $506.66 | +$309.79 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 65.8¢ | $70.15 | — | -$70.15 | |
0X 0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554CTR | Underavg 61.5¢ | $152.95 | — | -$152.95 | 53% 3195-2820 (6015) |
poshposh<$100 | Overavg 37.2¢ | $33.97 | $70.7 | +$36.73 | 59% 10257-7240 (17497) |
BO BoomLaLaCTR<$100 | Underavg 39.4¢ | $21.92 | — | -$21.92 | 53% 11554-10055 (21609) |
JU justaluckydude<$100 | Overavg 40¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 10788-9397 (20185) |
TO
topdogbigboiARB<$100Invested
$267.02
Value
$506.66
PnL
+$239.65
Record
49%
8081-8480 (16561)
Both legs:
Over$196.8738.9¢+$309.79
Under$70.1565.8¢-$70.15
0X
0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554CTRInvested
$152.95
Value
—
PnL
-$152.95
Record
53%
3195-2820 (6015)
poshposh<$100Invested
$33.97
Value
$70.7
PnL
+$36.73
Record
59%
10257-7240 (17497)
BO
BoomLaLaCTR<$100Invested
$21.92
Value
—
PnL
-$21.92
Record
53%
11554-10055 (21609)
JU
justaluckydude<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
10788-9397 (20185)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x75190513...cc53b4
Slug
nhl-stl-det-2026-10-31-total-7pt5