Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Wild β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Wild

Spread: Wild (-2.5)
Resolved Wild. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Wild. The smart money was right.
π
Won
6
Wild 60%
1 arb excluded
$149.39
-$42.96
Smart Money Signal
3 of 6 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JU justaluckydudeARB<$100 | Bruinsavg 55.1Β’ | $371.38 | $35 | -$336.38 | 49% 588-623 (1211) |
| β Bruins leg | Bruinsavg 55.1Β’ | $341.98 | β | -$341.98 | |
| β Wild leg | Wildavg 84Β’ | $29.4 | $35 | +$5.6 | |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Wildavg 51Β’ | $54.24 | $60.4 | +$6.16 | 38% 1351-2180 (3531) |
CI cigarettes<$100 | Wildavg 45Β’ | $33.65 | $50.87 | +$17.22 | 53% 7331-6407 (13738) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | Bruinsavg 21Β’ | $38.61 | β | -$38.61 | 50% 1850-1880 (3730) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Bruinsavg 23Β’ | $26.91 | β | -$26.91 | 47% 3580-3963 (7543) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100 | Wildavg 68Β’ | $2.13 | $3.13 | +$1 | 50% 2696-2676 (5372) |
VA Vampiro1CTR<$100 | Bruinsavg 55Β’ | $20 | β | -$1.82 | 82% 260-57 (317) |
Invested
$371.38
Value
$35
PnL
-$336.38
Record
49%
588-623 (1211)
Both legs:
Invested
$54.24
Value
$60.4
PnL
+$6.16
Record
38%
1351-2180 (3531)
Invested
$33.65
Value
$50.87
PnL
+$17.22
Record
53%
7331-6407 (13738)
Invested
$38.61
Value
β
PnL
-$38.61
Record
50%
1850-1880 (3730)
Invested
$26.91
Value
β
PnL
-$26.91
Record
47%
3580-3963 (7543)
Invested
$2.13
Value
$3.13
PnL
+$1
Record
50%
2696-2676 (5372)
Invested
$20
Value
β
PnL
-$1.82
Record
82%
260-57 (317)