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UnderOverUnderOverOver Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Over β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over

Golden Knights vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5
Resolved Over. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
π
Won
Consensus Traders
4
Over 75%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$293.21
Combined PnL
$38.76
Smart Money Signal
Over
3 of 4 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares186
Combined PnL-$42.78
Over3 traders
Total Value$248.21
Total Shares248
Combined PnL+$81.54
Under β 25%Over β 75%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OM omnibus-076daaCTR | Underavg 23Β’ | $186 | β | -$42.78 | 50% 23496-23498 (46994) |
38 38791873984189 | Overavg 77Β’ | $181 | $181 | +$41.63 | 48% 70301-75984 (146285) |
PA Pan9XARB<$100 | Underavg 51.3Β’ | $151.25 | $45 | -$10.79 | 52% 27288-24794 (52082) |
| β Under leg | Underavg 51.3Β’ | $33.99 | β | -$33.99 | |
| β Over leg | Overavg 48.4Β’ | $21.8 | $45 | +$23.2 | |
BO BoomLaLa<$100 | Overavg 42Β’ | $56.88 | $56.88 | +$32.99 | 53% 14337-12646 (26983) |
SH shiifoo<$100 | Overavg 33Β’ | $10.33 | $10.33 | +$6.92 | 48% 5145-5670 (10815) |
OM
omnibus-076daaCTRInvested
$186
Value
β
PnL
-$42.78
Record
50%
23496-23498 (46994)
38
38791873984189Invested
$181
Value
$181
PnL
+$41.63
Record
48%
70301-75984 (146285)
PA
Pan9XARB<$100Invested
$151.25
Value
$45
PnL
-$10.79
Record
52%
27288-24794 (52082)
Both legs:
Under$33.9951.3Β’-$33.99
Over$21.848.4Β’+$23.2
BO
BoomLaLa<$100Invested
$56.88
Value
$56.88
PnL
+$32.99
Record
53%
14337-12646 (26983)
SH
shiifoo<$100Invested
$10.33
Value
$10.33
PnL
+$6.92
Record
48%
5145-5670 (10815)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa9a1e444...a96a30
Slug
nhl-las-buf-2026-11-08-total-4pt5