Back to Markets
UnderUnderOverOverOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 48.5
Resolved Over. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 40%
Total Value
$394.98
Combined PnL
$1.48
Smart Money Signal
Under
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares391
Combined PnL-$195.72
Over3 traders
Total Value$394.98
Total Shares395
Combined PnL+$197.2
Under — 40%Over — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FE ferrariChampions2026CTR | Underavg 52¢ | $203.85 | — | -$106 | 46% 33409-38908 (72317) |
0X 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375CTR<$100 | Underavg 47.8¢ | $89.72 | — | -$89.72 | 50% 5215-5114 (10329) |
MA MadridTime | Overavg 48¢ | $203.85 | $203.85 | +$106 | 47% 2130-2385 (4515) |
CM cm2897 | Overavg 52¢ | $96.8 | $186 | +$89.2 | 50% 2575-2627 (5202) |
DA darkumbreon88<$100 | Overavg 60¢ | $3.13 | $5.13 | +$2 | 64% 2154-1189 (3343) |
FE
ferrariChampions2026CTRInvested
$203.85
Value
—
PnL
-$106
Record
46%
33409-38908 (72317)
0X
0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375CTR<$100Invested
$89.72
Value
—
PnL
-$89.72
Record
50%
5215-5114 (10329)
MA
MadridTimeInvested
$203.85
Value
$203.85
PnL
+$106
Record
47%
2130-2385 (4515)
CM
cm2897Invested
$96.8
Value
$186
PnL
+$89.2
Record
50%
2575-2627 (5202)
DA
darkumbreon88<$100Invested
$3.13
Value
$5.13
PnL
+$2
Record
64%
2154-1189 (3343)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x88157d38...eb4c3c
Slug
nfl-dal-ind-2026-11-08-total-48pt5