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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Justin Jefferson: Anytime Touchdown

Resolved No. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

8

No 75%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.9K

Combined PnL

$512.31

Smart Money Signal

No

6 of 8 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No6 traders
Total Value$1.7K
Total Shares1,724
Combined PnL+$671.41
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares466
Combined PnL-$159.1
No — 75%Yes — 25%
FO
forecastication4
No

Invested

$430.73

Value

$717.88

PnL

+$287.15

Record

10%

20-182 (202)

0X
0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3
No

Invested

$241.5

Value

$402.5

PnL

+$161

Record

7%

15-205 (220)

0X
0x68234mjhgfvj8612543ytjsa6187235v81283ARB<$100
Yes

Invested

$395.85

Value

$147

PnL

-$248.85

Record

9%

5-49 (54)

Both legs:

Yes$281.1939¢-$281.19
No$114.6678¢+$32.34
VeryLucky888
No

Invested

$199.51

Value

$338.15

PnL

+$138.64

Record

47%

171-192 (363)

SH
shiifoo
No

Invested

$104.02

Value

$155.25

PnL

+$51.23

Record

63%

1236-720 (1956)

CI
cigarettes<$100
No

Invested

$70.47

Value

$97

PnL

+$26.53

Record

52%

5134-4698 (9832)

0X
0x8f121cc492d8fef3e6ba3a51e33d6c4b5afaeeb9CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$82.22

Value

—

PnL

-$82.22

Record

1%

3-413 (416)

0X
0x3d5a9e66f15e6719927972135501c61efc53a0beCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$76.88

Value

—

PnL

-$76.88

Record

0%

1-311 (312)

SL
SlickRick123<$100
No

Invested

$6.33

Value

$13.19

PnL

+$6.86

Record

12%

50-356 (406)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xa1d20ee5...fa79fa
Slug
nfl-buf-min-2026-11-10-anytime-td-justin-jefferson

Traders in this Market

FO

forecastication4

No — $717.88

+$287.15
0X

0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3

No — $402.5

+$161
0X

0x68234mjhgfvj8612543ytjsa6187235v81283

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$248.85

VeryLucky888

No — $338.15

+$138.64
SH

shiifoo

No — $155.25

+$51.23
CI

cigarettes

No — $97

+$26.53
0X

0x8f121cc492d8fef3e6ba3a51e33d6c4b5afaeeb9

CTR

Yes — $0

-$82.22
0X

0x3d5a9e66f15e6719927972135501c61efc53a0be

CTR

Yes — $0

-$76.88
SL

SlickRick123

No — $13.19

+$6.86
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