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NoNoYesNoYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
James Cook III: Anytime Touchdown
Resolved Yes. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
4
No 75%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$59.77
Combined PnL
-$606.03
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 4 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,258
Combined PnL-$606.6
Yes1 trader
Total Value$1.13
Total Shares1
Combined PnL+$0.57
No — 75%Yes — 25%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3CTR | Noavg 47¢ | $388.29 | — | -$388.29 | 7% 15-205 (220) |
FO forecastication4CTR | Noavg 49¢ | $184.81 | — | -$184.81 | 10% 20-182 (202) |
SL SlickRick123ARB<$100 | Yesavg 83¢ | $68.37 | $58.64 | -$9.73 | 12% 50-356 (406) |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 83¢ | $48.67 | $58.64 | +$9.97 | |
| └ No leg | Noavg 39.6¢ | $19.7 | — | -$19.7 | |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Noavg 61.5¢ | $33.5 | — | -$33.5 | 52% 5134-4698 (9832) |
E4 e46m3<$100 | Yesavg 50¢ | $0.57 | $1.13 | +$0.57 | 44% 2466-3144 (5610) |
0X
0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3CTRInvested
$388.29
Value
—
PnL
-$388.29
Record
7%
15-205 (220)
FO
forecastication4CTRInvested
$184.81
Value
—
PnL
-$184.81
Record
10%
20-182 (202)
SL
SlickRick123ARB<$100Invested
$68.37
Value
$58.64
PnL
-$9.73
Record
12%
50-356 (406)
Both legs:
Yes$48.6783¢+$9.97
No$19.739.6¢-$19.7
CI
cigarettesCTR<$100Invested
$33.5
Value
—
PnL
-$33.5
Record
52%
5134-4698 (9832)
E4
e46m3<$100Invested
$0.57
Value
$1.13
PnL
+$0.57
Record
44%
2466-3144 (5610)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xbaf08ddf...e60f8a
Slug
nfl-buf-min-2026-11-10-anytime-td-james-cook-iii