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Over
RN1CTRUnderUnderOverOverUnderUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 58.5
Resolved Over. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Under 57%
Total Value
$335.83
Combined PnL
$-3.8K
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over3 traders
Total Value$335.83
Total Shares336
Combined PnL+$143.98
Under4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares6,625
Combined PnL$-3.9K
Over — 43%Under — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RE retarb | Overavg 58.3¢ | $154.55 | $265 | +$110.45 | 48% 4255-4550 (8805) |
RN1CTR | Underavg 58.6¢ | $2.0K | — | $-2.0K | 54% 57287-49527 (106814) |
AN Anon455CTR | Underavg 60¢ | $1.8K | — | $-1.8K | 55% 3029-2464 (5493) |
JU justaluckydude<$100 | Overavg 36¢ | $18.3 | $50.83 | +$32.53 | 53% 11037-9631 (20668) |
US User7429<$100 | Overavg 95¢ | $19 | $20 | +$1 | 55% 8423-6770 (15193) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR | Underavg 84.4¢ | $162.03 | — | -$80.4 | 48% 9059-9756 (18815) |
0X 0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000CTR<$100 | Underavg 4.9¢ | $2 | — | -$2 | 42% 2262-3083 (5345) |
RE
retarbInvested
$154.55
Value
$265
PnL
+$110.45
Record
48%
4255-4550 (8805)
RN1CTRInvested
$2,040.76
Value
—
PnL
$-2.0K
Record
54%
57287-49527 (106814)
AN
Anon455CTRInvested
$1,800
Value
—
PnL
$-1.8K
Record
55%
3029-2464 (5493)
JU
justaluckydude<$100Invested
$18.3
Value
$50.83
PnL
+$32.53
Record
53%
11037-9631 (20668)
US
User7429<$100Invested
$19
Value
$20
PnL
+$1
Record
55%
8423-6770 (15193)
TO
topdogbigboiCTRInvested
$162.03
Value
—
PnL
-$80.4
Record
48%
9059-9756 (18815)
0X
0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000CTR<$100Invested
$2
Value
—
PnL
-$2
Record
42%
2262-3083 (5345)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc01a34c0...ea767c
Slug
nfl-ari-dal-2026-11-01-total-58pt5