Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 30, 2026?
Resolved Yes. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Yes 38%
$1.3K
-$104.13
Smart Money Signal
4 of 9 top traders (44%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Contentious-Dinnerdate | Yesavg 92.9¢ | $915.37 | $985.74 | +$70.37 | 49% 381-390 (771) |
 IstarothCTR | Noavg 53¢ | $207.66 | $183.4 | -$4.24 | 40% 271-412 (683) |
BE berlinskies<$100 | Yesavg 46.6¢ | $39.57 | $84.85 | +$45.29 | 58% 5649-4157 (9806) |
 balthazar | Yesavg 40.8¢ | $116.34 | $21.73 | -$3.4 | 62% 19931-12391 (32322) |
LI lissartterCTR<$100 | Noavg 60.5¢ | $81.1 | — | -$61.09 | 42% 5144-7070 (12214) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Noavg 58¢ | $2.9 | — | -$2.9 | 57% 12489-9413 (21902) |
HI hithitfar<$100 | Yesavg 53.2¢ | $77.88 | — | -$3.45 | 57% 546-413 (959) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR | Noavg 54.8¢ | $159.3 | — | -$144.3 | 36% 14275-25592 (39867) |
RA ratedCTR<$100 | Noavg 2¢ | $0.4 | — | -$0.4 | 35% 2804-5200 (8004) |
Contentious-DinnerdateInvested
$915.37
Value
$985.74
PnL
+$70.37
Record
49%
381-390 (771)
IstarothCTRInvested
$207.66
Value
$183.4
PnL
-$4.24
Record
40%
271-412 (683)
Invested
$39.57
Value
$84.85
PnL
+$45.29
Record
58%
5649-4157 (9806)
balthazarInvested
$116.34
Value
$21.73
PnL
-$3.4
Record
62%
19931-12391 (32322)
Invested
$81.1
Value
—
PnL
-$61.09
Record
42%
5144-7070 (12214)
Invested
$2.9
Value
—
PnL
-$2.9
Record
57%
12489-9413 (21902)
Invested
$77.88
Value
—
PnL
-$3.45
Record
57%
546-413 (959)
Invested
$159.3
Value
—
PnL
-$144.3
Record
36%
14275-25592 (39867)
Invested
$0.4
Value
—
PnL
-$0.4
Record
35%
2804-5200 (8004)
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