Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 29, 2026?
Resolved Yes. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Yes 50%
$602.34
-$13.24
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Contentious-Dinnerdate | Yesavg 94.9¢ | $376.38 | $396.6 | +$20.22 | 49% 381-390 (771) |
 balthazar | Yesavg 66.7¢ | $191.45 | $139.98 | -$40.59 | 62% 19931-12391 (32322) |
 IstarothCTR<$100 | Noavg 60.3¢ | $40.19 | $36 | -$0.4 | 40% 271-412 (683) |
BE berlinskies<$100 | Yesavg 40.3¢ | $12 | $29.76 | +$17.76 | 58% 5649-4157 (9806) |
LI lissartterCTR<$100 | Noavg 58.9¢ | $53 | — | -$24 | 42% 5144-7070 (12214) |
HI hithitfar<$100 | Yes | $17.41 | — | +$3.34 | 57% 546-413 (959) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR | Noavg 55.6¢ | $217.14 | — | +$9.93 | 36% 14275-25592 (39867) |
RA rated<$100 | Yesavg 40¢ | $10 | — | +$0.5 | 35% 2804-5200 (8004) |
Contentious-DinnerdateInvested
$376.38
Value
$396.6
PnL
+$20.22
Record
49%
381-390 (771)
balthazarInvested
$191.45
Value
$139.98
PnL
-$40.59
Record
62%
19931-12391 (32322)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
$40.19
Value
$36
PnL
-$0.4
Record
40%
271-412 (683)
Invested
$12
Value
$29.76
PnL
+$17.76
Record
58%
5649-4157 (9806)
Invested
$53
Value
—
PnL
-$24
Record
42%
5144-7070 (12214)
Invested
$17.41
Value
—
PnL
+$3.34
Record
57%
546-413 (959)
Invested
$217.14
Value
—
PnL
+$9.93
Record
36%
14275-25592 (39867)
Invested
$10
Value
—
PnL
+$0.5
Record
35%
2804-5200 (8004)
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