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YesYes
RN1CTR<$100YesYesNoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will FC Volendam vs. De Graafschap end in a draw?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$3.52
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares32
Combined PnL-$3.52
No2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 67%No — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Yesavg 11¢ | $3.52 | — | -$3.52 | 38% 3268-5352 (8620) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Yesavg 25.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 45431-31798 (77229) |
RN1CTR<$100 | Yesavg 24.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 56379-48535 (104914) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Yesavg 32¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 24902-24623 (49525) |
LO lonmi2511<$100 | Noavg 87¢ | — | — | +$0 | 62% 1137-689 (1826) |
0X 0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000<$100 | Noavg 89¢ | — | — | +$0 | 42% 2236-3036 (5272) |
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$3.52
Value
—
PnL
-$3.52
Record
38%
3268-5352 (8620)
UP
UpTheBluesCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45431-31798 (77229)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
56379-48535 (104914)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
24902-24623 (49525)
LO
lonmi2511<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
1137-689 (1826)
0X
0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
2236-3036 (5272)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x341a0c1e...088fef
Slug
ned2-vol-gra-2026-10-30-draw