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YesNo
dips.<$100Yes
nacaradogolYesNoNoNoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will TOP Oss win on 2026-11-14?
Resolved Yes. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
No 67%
Total Value
$59.4
Combined PnL
-$539.56
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes3 traders
Total Value$48.29
Total Shares48
Combined PnL+$63.84
No5 traders
Total Value$11.11
Total Shares740
Combined PnL-$603.41
Yes — 38%No — 62%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SM smithagent<$100 | Yesavg 86¢ | $32.68 | $38 | +$5.32 | 45% 717-880 (1597) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Noavg 58.1¢ | $18.27 | $11.11 | -$7.16 | 38% 1175-1954 (3129) |
dips.<$100 | Yesavg 86¢ | $8.84 | $10.28 | +$1.44 | 47% 1041-1174 (2215) |
nacaradogol | Yesavg 17.2¢ | $355.42 | $0.01 | +$57.08 | 35% 12-22 (34) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Noavg 82.9¢ | $582.19 | — | -$582.19 | 53% 2249-2030 (4279) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100 | Noavg 83¢ | $9.5 | — | -$9.5 | 39% 593-921 (1514) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Noavg 82¢ | $4.55 | — | -$4.55 | 37% 1070-1834 (2904) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR<$100 | Noavg 50¢ | $34 | — | +$0 | 68% 136-63 (199) |
SM
smithagent<$100Invested
$32.68
Value
$38
PnL
+$5.32
Record
45%
717-880 (1597)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$18.27
Value
$11.11
PnL
-$7.16
Record
38%
1175-1954 (3129)
dips.<$100Invested
$8.84
Value
$10.28
PnL
+$1.44
Record
47%
1041-1174 (2215)
nacaradogolInvested
$355.42
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$57.08
Record
35%
12-22 (34)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTRInvested
$582.19
Value
—
PnL
-$582.19
Record
53%
2249-2030 (4279)
0X
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100Invested
$9.5
Value
—
PnL
-$9.5
Record
39%
593-921 (1514)
VE
VenusianCTR<$100Invested
$4.55
Value
—
PnL
-$4.55
Record
37%
1070-1834 (2904)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR<$100Invested
$34
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
68%
136-63 (199)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xdc3b609a...6e0203
Slug
ned2-gra-oss-2026-11-14-oss