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OverUnderUnderUnderUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
De Graafschap vs. TOP Oss: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Resolved Over. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 80%
Total Value
$4.96
Combined PnL
-$307.26
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over1 trader
Total Value$4.96
Total Shares5
Combined PnL+$1.14
Under4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,128
Combined PnL-$308.4
Over — 20%Under — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LO lonmi2511<$100 | Overavg 77¢ | $3.82 | $4.96 | +$1.14 | 59% 728-499 (1227) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Underavg 35¢ | $58.96 | — | -$58.96 | 38% 1094-1794 (2888) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Underavg 26¢ | $42.24 | — | -$42.24 | 37% 1070-1834 (2904) |
LI LightParadoxCTR | Underavg 26¢ | $144.1 | — | -$144.1 | 37% 1085-1829 (2914) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Underavg 26¢ | $63.1 | — | -$63.1 | 37% 1064-1806 (2870) |
LO
lonmi2511<$100Invested
$3.82
Value
$4.96
PnL
+$1.14
Record
59%
728-499 (1227)
MA
MadridTimeCTR<$100Invested
$58.96
Value
—
PnL
-$58.96
Record
38%
1094-1794 (2888)
VE
VenusianCTR<$100Invested
$42.24
Value
—
PnL
-$42.24
Record
37%
1070-1834 (2904)
LI
LightParadoxCTRInvested
$144.1
Value
—
PnL
-$144.1
Record
37%
1085-1829 (2914)
LI
LimousinCTR<$100Invested
$63.1
Value
—
PnL
-$63.1
Record
37%
1064-1806 (2870)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0da5f720...62f159
Slug
ned2-gra-oss-2026-11-14-first-half-total-0pt5