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HRTrading<$100UnderOverOverOverUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 208.5
Resolved Under. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 50%
Total Value
$79.4
Combined PnL
-$642.26
Smart Money Signal
Over
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under2 traders
Total Value$79.4
Total Shares79
Combined PnL+$46.77
Over3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,273
Combined PnL-$689.03
Under — 40%Over — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HRTrading<$100 | Underavg 41.1¢ | $32.63 | $79.4 | +$46.77 | 53% 5014-4502 (9516) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Overavg 38.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 46230-32531 (78761) |
TA takeormakeCTR | Overavg 54.1¢ | $1.3K | — | -$689.03 | 54% 4151-3604 (7755) |
JU justaluckydudeCTR<$100 | Overavg 30.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 10816-9436 (20252) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100 | Underavg 71.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 30541-21260 (51801) |
HRTrading<$100Invested
$32.63
Value
$79.4
PnL
+$46.77
Record
53%
5014-4502 (9516)
UP
UpTheBluesCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
46230-32531 (78761)
TA
takeormakeCTRInvested
$1,272.99
Value
—
PnL
-$689.03
Record
54%
4151-3604 (7755)
JU
justaluckydudeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
10816-9436 (20252)
0X
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
30541-21260 (51801)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1ca79eba...c7442a
Slug
nba-por-uta-2026-10-31-total-208pt5