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NoYesYesYesYesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Keegan Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5
Resolved Yes. 17% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
No 20%
Total Value
$1.4K
Combined PnL
$-1.5K
Smart Money Signal
No
1 of 6 top traders (17%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares4,500
Combined PnL$-2.2K
Yes5 traders
Total Value$1.4K
Total Shares1,396
Combined PnL+$705.65
No — 17%Yes — 83%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xeA3DeD580E454AAdaffd7c2df80616AA8e39524D-1779286950371CTR | Noavg 50¢ | $2.2K | — | $-2.2K | 65% 22-12 (34) |
0X 0x68234mjhgfvj8612543ytjsa6187235v81283 | Yesavg 50¢ | $562.7 | $1.1K | +$562.7 | 29% 32-80 (112) |
AU auros2 | Yesavg 50¢ | $86.65 | $173.2 | +$86.55 | 64% 78-43 (121) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Yesavg 51.1¢ | $35.68 | $64 | +$28.32 | 48% 3052-3353 (6405) |
PA Pan9X<$100 | Yesavg 50.7¢ | $28.9 | $33 | +$28.08 | 49% 1449-1486 (2935) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Yesavg 50¢ | $200 | — | +$0 | 72% 120-47 (167) |
0X
0xeA3DeD580E454AAdaffd7c2df80616AA8e39524D-1779286950371CTRInvested
$2,248.92
Value
—
PnL
$-2.2K
Record
65%
22-12 (34)
0X
0x68234mjhgfvj8612543ytjsa6187235v81283Invested
$562.7
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$562.7
Record
29%
32-80 (112)
AU
auros2Invested
$86.65
Value
$173.2
PnL
+$86.55
Record
64%
78-43 (121)
38
38791873984189<$100Invested
$35.68
Value
$64
PnL
+$28.32
Record
48%
3052-3353 (6405)
PA
Pan9X<$100Invested
$28.9
Value
$33
PnL
+$28.08
Record
49%
1449-1486 (2935)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesInvested
$200
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
72%
120-47 (167)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x726e1c2b...a4fe38
Slug
nba-por-sac-2026-11-13-rebounds-keegan-murray-3pt5