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NoNoNoYesNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 11.5
Resolved Yes. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
No 75%
Total Value
$10
Combined PnL
-$483.06
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,154
Combined PnL-$488.16
Yes1 trader
Total Value$10
Total Shares10
Combined PnL+$5.1
No — 80%Yes — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FO forecastication4CTR | Noavg 42¢ | $462.84 | — | -$462.84 | 33% 156-321 (477) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Noavg 43.2¢ | $14.87 | — | -$14.87 | 48% 3052-3353 (6405) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | Noavg 43.6¢ | $10.45 | — | -$10.45 | 49% 1449-1486 (2935) |
AU auros2<$100 | Yesavg 49¢ | $4.9 | $10 | +$5.1 | 64% 78-43 (121) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Noavg 50¢ | $200 | — | +$0 | 72% 120-47 (167) |
FO
forecastication4CTRInvested
$462.84
Value
—
PnL
-$462.84
Record
33%
156-321 (477)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$14.87
Value
—
PnL
-$14.87
Record
48%
3052-3353 (6405)
PA
Pan9XCTR<$100Invested
$10.45
Value
—
PnL
-$10.45
Record
49%
1449-1486 (2935)
AU
auros2<$100Invested
$4.9
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.1
Record
64%
78-43 (121)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTRInvested
$200
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
72%
120-47 (167)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x26789d48...4ea716
Slug
nba-por-sac-2026-11-13-rebounds-domantas-sabonis-11pt5