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YesNoNoNoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 12.5
Resolved No. 20% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 25%
Total Value
$3.6K
Combined PnL
-$569.02
Smart Money Signal
Yes
1 of 5 top traders (20%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares4,404
Combined PnL$-2.4K
No4 traders
Total Value$3.6K
Total Shares3,620
Combined PnL+$1.9K
Yes — 20%No — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xeA3DeD580E454AAdaffd7c2df80616AA8e39524D-1779286950371CTR | Yesavg 54.9¢ | $2.4K | — | $-2.4K | 65% 22-12 (34) |
0X 0x3822028fC1c17B00DD2f84846F91c14B996CBFe6-1778488989186 | Noavg 45¢ | $1.1K | $2.4K | +$1.3K | — 9-8 (17) |
0X 0x68234mjhgfvj8612543ytjsa6187235v81283 | Noavg 45¢ | $665.24 | $1.2K | +$500.56 | 29% 32-80 (112) |
BO BoomLaLa<$100 | Noavg 44.6¢ | $7.15 | $16.03 | +$8.88 | 33% 147-294 (441) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Noavg 50¢ | $1.2K | — | +$0 | 72% 120-47 (167) |
0X
0xeA3DeD580E454AAdaffd7c2df80616AA8e39524D-1779286950371CTRInvested
$2,419.24
Value
—
PnL
$-2.4K
Record
65%
22-12 (34)
0X
0x3822028fC1c17B00DD2f84846F91c14B996CBFe6-1778488989186Invested
$1,097
Value
$2.4K
PnL
+$1.3K
Record
—
9-8 (17)
0X
0x68234mjhgfvj8612543ytjsa6187235v81283Invested
$665.24
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$500.56
Record
29%
32-80 (112)
BO
BoomLaLa<$100Invested
$7.15
Value
$16.03
PnL
+$8.88
Record
33%
147-294 (441)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesInvested
$1,157
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
72%
120-47 (167)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xaa5dc648...396de6
Slug
nba-por-sac-2026-11-13-points-jrue-holiday-12pt5