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Under
nigiri99Over
RollAwayTheDewCTRUnderOverUnder
poshposhCTR<$100UnderOverOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 123.5
Resolved Over. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Under 67%
Total Value
$160.21
Combined PnL
$-1.0K
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,996
Combined PnL$-1.1K
Over4 traders
Total Value$160.21
Total Shares160
Combined PnL+$87.12
Under — 50%Over — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TA takeormakeCTR | Underavg 63.6¢ | $919.6 | — | -$919.6 | 54% 3800-3253 (7053) |
nigiri99 | Overavg 38¢ | $50.54 | $133 | +$82.46 | — |
RollAwayTheDewCTR | Underavg 63.5¢ | $69.09 | — | -$69.09 | 52% 307-281 (588) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Overavg 71.4¢ | $19.43 | $27.21 | +$4.66 | — |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100 | Underavg 43¢ | $94.25 | — | -$94.25 | 59% 29995-20705 (50700) |
poshposhCTR<$100 | Underavg 53.2¢ | $37.64 | — | -$37.64 | 60% 9276-6223 (15499) |
PU purplegatto<$100 | Overavg 36.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 5755-5868 (11623) |
FO Forecastication2<$100 | Overavg 37.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 6768-6780 (13548) |
TA
takeormakeCTRInvested
$919.6
Value
—
PnL
-$919.6
Record
54%
3800-3253 (7053)
nigiri99Invested
$50.54
Value
$133
PnL
+$82.46
Record
—
RollAwayTheDewCTRInvested
$69.09
Value
—
PnL
-$69.09
Record
52%
307-281 (588)
LR
lryyy<$100Invested
$19.43
Value
$27.21
PnL
+$4.66
Record
—
0X
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100Invested
$94.25
Value
—
PnL
-$94.25
Record
59%
29995-20705 (50700)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$37.64
Value
—
PnL
-$37.64
Record
60%
9276-6223 (15499)
PU
purplegatto<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
5755-5868 (11623)
FO
Forecastication2<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
6768-6780 (13548)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x53acb921...2ad255
Slug
nba-por-lal-2026-10-27-1h-total-123pt5