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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Thunder β€” but Mavericks won instead.

Spread: Thunder (-11.5)

Resolved Mavericks. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Thunder. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

5

Thunder 33%

Total Value

$890

Combined PnL

$-1.4K

Smart Money Signal

Thunder

3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Thunder0%
Mavericks100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Mavericks2 traders
Total Value$890
Total Shares890
Combined PnL+$39.01
Thunder3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares4,468
Combined PnL$-1.4K
Mavericks β€” 40%Thunder β€” 60%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x0db92a5b...2b7f1c
Slug
nba-okc-dal-2026-10-28-spread-away-11pt5
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