Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)

Resolved Grizzlies. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Trail Blazers. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Trail Blazers 67%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$156.35

Combined PnL

-$74.11

Trail Blazers

2 of 5 top traders (40%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Trail Blazers0%

Grizzlies100%

Grizzlies3 traders

Total Value$100.35

Total Shares100

Combined PnL+$0.35

Trail Blazers2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares228

Combined PnL-$74.46

Grizzlies — 60%Trail Blazers — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
ComingBack	Grizzliesavg 99.6¢	$100	$100.35	+$0.35	61% 3911-2457 (6368)
38 38791873984189ARB<$100	Trail Blazersavg 32.9¢	$122.39	$56	-$59.13	46% 7787-9202 (16989)
└ Grizzlies leg	Grizzliesavg 68.8¢	$38.51	$56	+$17.49
└ Trail Blazers leg	Trail Blazersavg 32.9¢	$76.65	—	-$76.62
AN Anon455CTR<$100	Trail Blazersavg 32¢	$68.99	—	-$68.99	56% 2814-2242 (5056)
HRTradingCTR<$100	Trail Blazersavg 31.1¢	$5.48	—	-$5.48	52% 3925-3577 (7502)
RN1<$100	Grizzliesavg 65¢	—	—	+$0	54% 56250-48415 (104665)
TA takeormake<$100	Grizzliesavg 66¢	—	—	+$0	54% 3960-3431 (7391)