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scootergeneCTROver
VeryLucky888CTROverOverOverUnderOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 120.5
Resolved Under. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 75%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$86.61
Combined PnL
$-1.3K
Smart Money Signal
Over
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,777
Combined PnL$-1.3K
Under1 trader
Total Value$7.61
Total Shares8
Combined PnL+$3.73
Over — 80%Under — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
scootergeneCTR | Overavg 49¢ | $980 | — | -$980 | 54% 371-315 (686) |
VeryLucky888CTR | Overavg 45¢ | $274.37 | — | -$265.03 | 58% 41361-29991 (71352) |
38 38791873984189ARB<$100 | Overavg 44¢ | $98.36 | $79 | -$14.41 | — |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 44¢ | $54.65 | — | -$54.65 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 52¢ | $41.11 | $79 | +$40.24 | |
BA BayupatiCTR<$100 | Overavg 49¢ | $91.59 | — | -$89.72 | 52% 218-205 (423) |
SL slimjoe<$100 | Underavg 51¢ | $3.88 | $7.61 | +$3.73 | 51% 6472-6142 (12614) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100 | Overavg 50¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 18905-19321 (38226) |
scootergeneCTRInvested
$980
Value
—
PnL
-$980
Record
54%
371-315 (686)
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$274.37
Value
—
PnL
-$265.03
Record
58%
41361-29991 (71352)
38
38791873984189ARB<$100Invested
$98.36
Value
$79
PnL
-$14.41
Record
—
Both legs:
Over$54.6544¢-$54.65
Under$41.1152¢+$40.24
BA
BayupatiCTR<$100Invested
$91.59
Value
—
PnL
-$89.72
Record
52%
218-205 (423)
SL
slimjoe<$100Invested
$3.88
Value
$7.61
PnL
+$3.73
Record
51%
6472-6142 (12614)
OM
omnibus-076daaCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
18905-19321 (38226)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9bf606fc...9f949b
Slug
nba-mem-por-2026-10-29-1h-total-120pt5