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VeryLucky888NoNoNoNoNoNoYesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Luka Dončić: Points O/U 34.5
Resolved No. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
8
No 75%
Total Value
$522.94
Combined PnL
$275.46
Smart Money Signal
No
6 of 8 top traders (75%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No6 traders
Total Value$522.94
Total Shares523
Combined PnL+$281.22
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares11
Combined PnL-$5.76
No — 75%Yes — 25%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VeryLucky888 | Noavg 48¢ | $119.99 | $249.98 | +$129.99 | 52% 642-600 (1242) |
FO forecastication4 | Noavg 46¢ | $70.57 | $153.42 | +$82.85 | 24% 78-247 (325) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Noavg 35.1¢ | $29.06 | $57.54 | +$35.48 | 47% 1785-2006 (3791) |
FO Forecastication2<$100 | Noavg 50¢ | $15.5 | $31 | +$15.5 | 41% 124-177 (301) |
PA Pan9X<$100 | Noavg 42.6¢ | $21.83 | $21 | +$14.4 | 47% 847-942 (1789) |
SH shiifoo<$100 | Noavg 70¢ | $7 | $10 | +$3 | 62% 1349-816 (2165) |
TH thatsabing0CTR<$100 | Yesavg 53¢ | $4.57 | — | -$4.57 | 65% 127-67 (194) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Yesavg 52¢ | $1.19 | — | -$1.19 | 47% 1377-1532 (2909) |
VeryLucky888Invested
$119.99
Value
$249.98
PnL
+$129.99
Record
52%
642-600 (1242)
FO
forecastication4Invested
$70.57
Value
$153.42
PnL
+$82.85
Record
24%
78-247 (325)
38
38791873984189<$100Invested
$29.06
Value
$57.54
PnL
+$35.48
Record
47%
1785-2006 (3791)
FO
Forecastication2<$100Invested
$15.5
Value
$31
PnL
+$15.5
Record
41%
124-177 (301)
PA
Pan9X<$100Invested
$21.83
Value
$21
PnL
+$14.4
Record
47%
847-942 (1789)
SH
shiifoo<$100Invested
$7
Value
$10
PnL
+$3
Record
62%
1349-816 (2165)
TH
thatsabing0CTR<$100Invested
$4.57
Value
—
PnL
-$4.57
Record
65%
127-67 (194)
SU
suntoriCTR<$100Invested
$1.19
Value
—
PnL
-$1.19
Record
47%
1377-1532 (2909)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x216cc777...cce07b
Slug
nba-lal-mil-2026-11-11-points-luka-doncic-34pt5