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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.

Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 244.5

Resolved Under. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Over 67%

Total Value

$3.1K

Combined PnL

$-1.9K

Smart Money Signal

Over

8 of 12 top traders (67%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Over0%
Under100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under4 traders
Total Value$3.1K
Total Shares3,065
Combined PnL+$1.3K
Over8 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares5,707
Combined PnL$-3.2K
Under — 33%Over — 67%
KE
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Under

Invested

$656.26

Value

$1.8K

PnL

+$1.1K

Record

48%

414-442 (856)

FL
Flaznorp
Under

Invested

$1,120.03

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$168.19

Record

51%

12449-11898 (24347)

AN
Anon455CTR
Over

Invested

$1,705.12

Value

—

PnL

$-1.3K

Record

56%

2440-1906 (4346)

LE
LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100
Over

Invested

$8.64

Value

—

PnL

-$8.64

Record

57%

27306-20190 (47496)

GA
gagarin59CTR
Over

Invested

$1,399.95

Value

—

PnL

$-1.4K

Record

53%

598-534 (1132)

TA
takeormakeCTR
Over

Invested

$1,064.27

Value

—

PnL

-$546.97

Record

54%

3614-3134 (6748)

HO
HomeRunHazardCTR<$100
Over

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

54%

16560-13892 (30452)

0X
0xe3eeb127d5763a6e4ad597f773f9d9c94d5176CTR<$100
Over

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

6089-5305 (11394)

GH
ghorrockCTR<$100
Over

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

57%

12548-9494 (22042)

TO
torta.techCTR<$100
Over

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

63%

7936-4719 (12655)

SU
SunlineTicker<$100
Under

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

62%

3934-2398 (6332)

HRTrading<$100
Under

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

54%

2345-1973 (4318)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xb0203a83...246976
Slug
nba-ind-mil-2026-10-26-total-244pt5

Traders in this Market

KE

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Under — $1.8K

+$1.1K
FL

Flaznorp

Under — $1.3K

+$168.19
AN

Anon455

CTR

Over — $0

$-1.3K
LE

LeLynxMalynx

CTR

Over — $0

-$8.64
GA

gagarin59

CTR

Over — $0

$-1.4K
TA

takeormake

CTR

Over — $0

-$546.97
HO

HomeRunHazard

CTR

Over — $0

+$0
0X

0xe3eeb127d5763a6e4ad597f773f9d9c94d5176

CTR

Over — $0

+$0
GH

ghorrock

CTR

Over — $0

+$0
TO

torta.tech

CTR

Over — $0

+$0
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