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UnderOverOver
balthazar<$100UnderOverOverOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 214.5
Resolved Under. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Over 67%
Total Value
$53.67
Combined PnL
$-1.5K
Smart Money Signal
Over
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under2 traders
Total Value$53.67
Total Shares54
Combined PnL+$47.61
Over5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,950
Combined PnL$-1.5K
Under — 29%Over — 71%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AN Anon455<$100 | Underavg 11.3¢ | $53.67 | $53.67 | +$47.61 | 56% 2440-1906 (4346) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Overavg 90¢ | $1.0K | — | $-1.0K | 51% 12449-11898 (24347) |
TA takeormakeCTR | Overavg 64.8¢ | $828.64 | — | -$536.96 | 54% 3614-3134 (6748) |
balthazar<$100 | Underavg 98¢ | — | — | +$0 | 62% 20228-12642 (32870) |
JU justaluckydudeCTR<$100 | Overavg 40.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 10277-8909 (19186) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Overavg 37.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 12548-9494 (22042) |
US User7429CTR<$100 | Overavg 62¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 7964-6450 (14414) |
AN
Anon455<$100Invested
$53.67
Value
$53.67
PnL
+$47.61
Record
56%
2440-1906 (4346)
FL
FlaznorpCTRInvested
$1,008.77
Value
—
PnL
$-1.0K
Record
51%
12449-11898 (24347)
TA
takeormakeCTRInvested
$828.64
Value
—
PnL
-$536.96
Record
54%
3614-3134 (6748)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
20228-12642 (32870)
JU
justaluckydudeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
10277-8909 (19186)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
12548-9494 (22042)
US
User7429CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
7964-6450 (14414)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8e0ffa50...c529d2
Slug
nba-ind-mil-2026-10-26-total-214pt5