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UnderUnder
HRTradingCTR<$100OverOver
balthazarCTR<$100OverUnderUnderUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 212.5
Resolved Under. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Over 50%
Total Value
$1.1K
Combined PnL
$-1.1K
Smart Money Signal
Over
3 of 8 top traders (38%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under5 traders
Total Value$1.1K
Total Shares1,066
Combined PnL+$31.03
Over3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,408
Combined PnL$-1.2K
Under — 63%Over — 37%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZX zxc368 | Underavg 99.8¢ | $1.0K | $1.0K | +$2.22 | 99% 12549-178 (12727) |
SH shoemanhere<$100 | Underavg 56.2¢ | $36.94 | $65.75 | +$28.81 | 56% 7005-5416 (12421) |
HRTradingCTR<$100 | Overavg 91.1¢ | $14.78 | — | -$14.78 | 54% 2345-1973 (4318) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Overavg 81.9¢ | $1.1K | — | $-1.1K | 51% 12449-11898 (24347) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Overavg 1.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 62% 20228-12642 (32870) |
FO forecastication4<$100 | Underavg 5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 1093-1132 (2225) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Underavg 35¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 12548-9494 (22042) |
US User7429<$100 | Underavg 50.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 7964-6450 (14414) |
ZX
zxc368Invested
$1,000
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$2.22
Record
99%
12549-178 (12727)
SH
shoemanhere<$100Invested
$36.94
Value
$65.75
PnL
+$28.81
Record
56%
7005-5416 (12421)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$14.78
Value
—
PnL
-$14.78
Record
54%
2345-1973 (4318)
FL
FlaznorpCTRInvested
$1,145.5
Value
—
PnL
$-1.1K
Record
51%
12449-11898 (24347)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
20228-12642 (32870)
FO
forecastication4<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
1093-1132 (2225)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
12548-9494 (22042)
US
User7429<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
7964-6450 (14414)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe114c564...cb773c
Slug
nba-ind-mil-2026-10-26-total-212pt5