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dips.<$100Cavaliers
VeryLucky888<$100CavaliersMavericksMavericksMavericksMavericks
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Mavericks — but Cavaliers won instead.
1H Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)
Resolved Cavaliers. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Mavericks. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Mavericks 67%
Total Value
$125.89
Combined PnL
-$19.29
Smart Money Signal
Mavericks
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Mavericks0%
Cavaliers100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Cavaliers2 traders
Total Value$125.89
Total Shares126
Combined PnL+$56.18
Mavericks4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares188
Combined PnL-$75.48
Cavaliers — 33%Mavericks — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
dips.<$100 | Cavaliersavg 63¢ | $32.76 | $52 | +$19.24 | 48% 1115-1227 (2342) |
VeryLucky888<$100 | Cavaliersavg 50¢ | $36.94 | $73.89 | +$36.94 | 54% 1641-1409 (3050) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Mavericksavg 41.5¢ | $27 | — | -$27 | 47% 3551-3935 (7486) |
LR lryyyCTR<$100 | Mavericksavg 41¢ | $18.04 | — | -$18.04 | 46% 877-1050 (1927) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Mavericksavg 42¢ | $11.2 | — | -$11.2 | 38% 1308-2106 (3414) |
TA takeormakeCTR<$100 | Mavericksavg 37¢ | $19.24 | — | -$19.24 | 57% 3591-2667 (6258) |
dips.<$100Invested
$32.76
Value
$52
PnL
+$19.24
Record
48%
1115-1227 (2342)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$36.94
Value
$73.89
PnL
+$36.94
Record
54%
1641-1409 (3050)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$27
Value
—
PnL
-$27
Record
47%
3551-3935 (7486)
LR
lryyyCTR<$100Invested
$18.04
Value
—
PnL
-$18.04
Record
46%
877-1050 (1927)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$11.2
Value
—
PnL
-$11.2
Record
38%
1308-2106 (3414)
TA
takeormakeCTR<$100Invested
$19.24
Value
—
PnL
-$19.24
Record
57%
3591-2667 (6258)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x455fd33a...7f13b4
Slug
nba-dal-cle-2026-11-14-1h-spread-away-4pt5