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HawksCavaliersHawksCavaliers
HRTradingCavaliersHawks
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Hawks — but Cavaliers won instead.
Spread: Hawks (-8.5)
Resolved Cavaliers. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Hawks. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Hawks 50%
Total Value
$2.2K
Combined PnL
-$609.77
Smart Money Signal
Hawks
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Hawks0%
Cavaliers100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Hawks3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares3,569
Combined PnL$-1.7K
Cavaliers3 traders
Total Value$2.2K
Total Shares2,193
Combined PnL+$1.1K
Hawks — 50%Cavaliers — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TA takeormakeCTR | Hawksavg 47.6¢ | $3.3K | — | $-1.6K | 53% 3934-3425 (7359) |
JU justaluckydude | Cavaliersavg 48.4¢ | $1.9K | $1.9K | +$990.91 | 54% 10577-9177 (19754) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR | Hawksavg 49¢ | $262.75 | — | -$128.75 | 49% 690-725 (1415) |
WO woshikd99 | Cavaliersavg 55¢ | $83.05 | $151 | +$67.95 | 54% 98-83 (181) |
HRTrading | Cavaliersavg 67¢ | $88.88 | $121.42 | +$32.54 | 52% 3869-3521 (7390) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Hawksavg 46.5¢ | $10.83 | — | -$10.83 | 57% 13427-10262 (23689) |
TA
takeormakeCTRInvested
$3,282.76
Value
—
PnL
$-1.6K
Record
53%
3934-3425 (7359)
JU
justaluckydudeInvested
$1,920.41
Value
$1.9K
PnL
+$990.91
Record
54%
10577-9177 (19754)
KE
keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTRInvested
$262.75
Value
—
PnL
-$128.75
Record
49%
690-725 (1415)
WO
woshikd99Invested
$83.05
Value
$151
PnL
+$67.95
Record
54%
98-83 (181)
HRTradingInvested
$88.88
Value
$121.42
PnL
+$32.54
Record
52%
3869-3521 (7390)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
$10.83
Value
—
PnL
-$10.83
Record
57%
13427-10262 (23689)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x421e4128...37b42e
Slug
nba-cle-atl-2026-10-29-spread-home-8pt5