Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.

Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5
Resolved Over. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
9
Under 100%
$0
-$289.19
Smart Money Signal
8 of 9 top traders (89%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR | Underavg 40.1Β’ | $231.49 | β | -$231.49 | 51% 12449-11898 (24347) |
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100 | Underavg 41.6Β’ | $24.96 | β | -$34.26 | 57% 27306-20190 (47496) |
PA pauleta23CTR<$100 | Underavg 19Β’ | $10.32 | β | -$10.32 | 67% 22976-11372 (34348) |
SE seeeeeebCTR<$100 | Underavg 18.9Β’ | $10.02 | β | -$10.02 | 49% 589-601 (1190) |
MI mishipolisCTR<$100 | Underavg 40Β’ | $4 | β | -$3.1 | 50% 4379-4294 (8673) |
HO HomeRunHazard<$100 | Overavg 56Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 54% 16560-13892 (30452) |
HI hi774cCTR<$100 | Underavg 41Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 52% 4623-4309 (8932) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Underavg 40.6Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 57% 12548-9494 (22042) |
SU SunlineTickerCTR<$100 | Underavg 39.1Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 62% 3934-2398 (6332) |
Invested
$231.49
Value
β
PnL
-$231.49
Record
51%
12449-11898 (24347)
Invested
$24.96
Value
β
PnL
-$34.26
Record
57%
27306-20190 (47496)
Invested
$10.32
Value
β
PnL
-$10.32
Record
67%
22976-11372 (34348)
Invested
$10.02
Value
β
PnL
-$10.02
Record
49%
589-601 (1190)
Invested
$4
Value
β
PnL
-$3.1
Record
50%
4379-4294 (8673)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
16560-13892 (30452)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
4623-4309 (8932)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
12548-9494 (22042)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
3934-2398 (6332)
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