Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)

6 of 10 top Polymarket traders hold Vancouver Whitecaps FC (60%) · Vancouver Whitecaps FC at 98¢ · $7K held · ended Oct 29

Vancouver Whitecaps FC98¢San Diego FC2¢Ended Thu, Oct 29, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

Consensus Traders

Vancouver Whitecaps FC 60%

Total Value

$7.0K

Combined PnL

$1.6K

Smart Money Entry

59.2¢ → 98.5¢

+66% since entry · 6 traders

Research grade

NeutralVancouver Whitecaps FC at 98%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Spread or totalOct 22 backtest: spreads and totals −14.5 % a trade in spring (95 % CI −27 to −1), +1.5 % in October: no edge.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

6 of 10 top traders (60%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Vancouver Whitecaps FC98%

San Diego FC2%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Vancouver Whitecaps FC6 traders

Total Value$7.0K

Total Shares8,873

Combined PnL+$1.6K

San Diego FC4 traders

Total Value$73.79

Total Shares113

Combined PnL+$15.98

Vancouver Whitecaps FC — 60%San Diego FC — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
GO GoalLineGhost	Vancouver Whitecaps FCavg 59.4¢	$3.0K	$4.8K	+$1.8K	50% 24584-24250 (48834)
UP UpTheBlues	Vancouver Whitecaps FCavg 87.2¢	$1.1K	$1.2K	+$114.43	59% 44933-31331 (76264)
0X 0x1B8FfDb4FF99B4622F099465C486E4F75751cca7-1779298477893	Vancouver Whitecaps FCavg 44¢	$879.99	$659.99	-$220	38% 417-676 (1093)
VeryLucky888	Vancouver Whitecaps FCavg 45.5¢	$284.09	$198.33	-$75.14	58% 41030-29693 (70723)
poshposh<$100	Vancouver Whitecaps FCavg 80.4¢	$44.13	$36.21	-$7.92	59% 9529-6541 (16070)
0X 0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191CTR<$100	San Diego FCavg 48¢	$24	$33.5	+$9.5	47% 4483-4963 (9446)
FO foooool<$100	Vancouver Whitecaps FCavg 75.8¢	$30.3	$31	+$0.7	50% 10665-10524 (21189)
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100	San Diego FCavg 57¢	$22.72	$26.71	+$3.99	50% 32969-32506 (65475)
MO mooseborzoiiCTR<$100	San Diego FCavg 59¢	$9.96	$11.31	+$1.35	50% 1145-1138 (2283)
HRTradingCTR<$100	San Diego FCavg 17¢	$1.14	$2.28	+$1.14	53% 3387-3055 (6442)

GoalLineGhost

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

Invested

$3,045.34

Value

$4.8K

PnL

+$1.8K

Record

50%

24584-24250 (48834)

UpTheBlues

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

Invested

$1,107.09

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$114.43

Record

59%

44933-31331 (76264)

0x1B8FfDb4FF99B4622F099465C486E4F75751cca7-1779298477893

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

Invested

$879.99

Value

$659.99

PnL

-$220

Record

38%

417-676 (1093)

VeryLucky888

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

Invested

$284.09

Value

$198.33

PnL

-$75.14

Record

58%

41030-29693 (70723)

poshposh<$100

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

Invested

$44.13

Value

$36.21

PnL

-$7.92

Record

59%

9529-6541 (16070)

0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191CTR<$100

San Diego FC

Invested

$24

Value

$33.5

PnL

+$9.5

Record

47%

4483-4963 (9446)

foooool<$100

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

Invested

$30.3

Value

$31

PnL

+$0.7

Record

50%

10665-10524 (21189)

SnakeBallCTR<$100

San Diego FC

Invested

$22.72

Value

$26.71

PnL

+$3.99

Record

50%

32969-32506 (65475)

mooseborzoiiCTR<$100

San Diego FC

Invested

$9.96

Value

$11.31

PnL

+$1.35

Record

50%

1145-1138 (2283)

HRTradingCTR<$100

San Diego FC

Invested

$1.14

Value

$2.28

PnL

+$1.14

Record

53%

3387-3055 (6442)

Research grade

NeutralVancouver Whitecaps FC at 98%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Spread or totalOct 22 backtest: spreads and totals −14.5 % a trade in spring (95 % CI −27 to −1), +1.5 % in October: no edge.

Smart Money Signal

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

6 of 10 top traders (60%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Vancouver Whitecaps FC wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.5%

98.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.53

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.5

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.