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OverUnderOver
poshposhCTR<$100OverUnderUnderOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Austin FC: O/U 6.5
Resolved Under. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Over 75%
Total Value
$258.39
Combined PnL
-$278.98
Smart Money Signal
Over
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares3,124
Combined PnL-$325.61
Under3 traders
Total Value$258.39
Total Shares258
Combined PnL+$46.63
Over — 57%Under — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Overavg 8.6¢ | $287.58 | — | -$287.58 | 50% 25353-25122 (50475) |
FO foooool | Underavg 71.1¢ | $211.76 | $258.39 | +$46.63 | 50% 10987-10819 (21806) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Overavg 9.4¢ | $34.59 | — | -$34.59 | 48% 8249-8767 (17016) |
poshposhCTR<$100 | Overavg 7¢ | $3.44 | — | -$3.44 | 59% 10341-7332 (17673) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Underavg 93¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 46230-32531 (78761) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Underavg 92¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 33606-33156 (66762) |
HI hi774cCTR<$100 | Overavg 6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 4749-4468 (9217) |
GO
GoalLineGhostCTRInvested
$287.58
Value
—
PnL
-$287.58
Record
50%
25353-25122 (50475)
FO
fooooolInvested
$211.76
Value
$258.39
PnL
+$46.63
Record
50%
10987-10819 (21806)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$34.59
Value
—
PnL
-$34.59
Record
48%
8249-8767 (17016)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$3.44
Value
—
PnL
-$3.44
Record
59%
10341-7332 (17673)
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
46230-32531 (78761)
SN
SnakeBall<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
33606-33156 (66762)
HI
hi774cCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
4749-4468 (9217)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xacfcc17a...d2ea66
Slug
mls-lag-aus-2026-10-31-total-6pt5