Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Austin FC — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Austin FC
Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-3.5)
Resolved Austin FC. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Austin FC. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
6
Austin FC 67%
2 arb excluded
$613.57
-$5.96
Smart Money Signal
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TO topdogbigboiARB<$100 | Austin FCavg 71.5¢ | $296.61 | $210 | -$86.61 | 48% 8249-8767 (17016) |
| └ Austin FC leg | Austin FCavg 71.5¢ | $150.2 | $210 | +$59.8 | |
| └ Los Angeles Galaxy leg | Los Angeles Galaxyavg 32.9¢ | $146.41 | — | -$146.41 | |
FO fooooolARB<$100 | Austin FCavg 70.5¢ | $223.46 | $193.44 | -$30.02 | 50% 10987-10819 (21806) |
| └ Austin FC leg | Austin FCavg 70.5¢ | $136.46 | $193.44 | +$56.98 | |
| └ Los Angeles Galaxy leg | Los Angeles Galaxyavg 28.7¢ | $87 | — | -$87 | |
 poshposh | Austin FCavg 71¢ | $125.45 | $176.69 | +$51.24 | 59% 10341-7332 (17673) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Los Angeles Galaxyavg 20.5¢ | $67.47 | — | -$67.47 | 50% 25353-25122 (50475) |
 HRTrading<$100 | Austin FCavg 69.3¢ | $23.18 | $33.45 | +$10.27 | 53% 5014-4502 (9516) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Los Angeles Galaxyavg 12¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 46230-32531 (78761) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Austin FCavg 84¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 33606-33156 (66762) |
VA Vampiro1<$100 | Austin FCavg 70¢ | — | — | +$0 | 77% 3369-1026 (4395) |
Invested
$296.61
Value
$210
PnL
-$86.61
Record
48%
8249-8767 (17016)
Both legs:
Invested
$223.46
Value
$193.44
PnL
-$30.02
Record
50%
10987-10819 (21806)
Both legs:
poshposhInvested
$125.45
Value
$176.69
PnL
+$51.24
Record
59%
10341-7332 (17673)
Invested
$67.47
Value
—
PnL
-$67.47
Record
50%
25353-25122 (50475)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$23.18
Value
$33.45
PnL
+$10.27
Record
53%
5014-4502 (9516)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
46230-32531 (78761)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
33606-33156 (66762)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
77%
3369-1026 (4395)
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