Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Over — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over

Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Austin FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Resolved Over. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Over 50%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$101

Combined PnL

$68.88

Over

3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Over100%

Under0%

Over3 traders

Total Value$80

Total Shares80

Combined PnL+$70.14

Under2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares8

Combined PnL-$1.26

Over — 60%Under — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
VA Vampiro1<$100	Overavg 95¢	$80	$80	+$4	77% 3369-1026 (4395)
TO topdogbigboiARB<$100	Underavg 12.2¢	$39.25	$21	-$18.25	48% 8249-8767 (17016)
└ Under leg	Underavg 12.2¢	$22.45	—	-$22.45
└ Over leg	Overavg 80¢	$16.8	$21	+$4.2
HRTradingCTR<$100	Underavg 15.5¢	$1.26	—	-$1.26	53% 5014-4502 (9516)
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100	Underavg 21.5¢	—	—	+$0	59% 46230-32531 (78761)
NO NordhavenCap<$100	Overavg 82.6¢	—	—	+$0	57% 2188-1632 (3820)
BE Betyourself	Overavg 79¢	$250	—	+$66.14	64% 2259-1277 (3536)