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UnderOverOverOverOver
RN1CTR<$100Over
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Club Atletico La Paz vs. Piratas Veracruz: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Resolved Under. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Over 83%
Total Value
$92
Combined PnL
-$14.15
Smart Money Signal
Over
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under1 trader
Total Value$92
Total Shares92
Combined PnL+$23
Over5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares122
Combined PnL-$37.15
Under — 17%Over — 83%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100 | Underavg 75¢ | $69 | $92 | +$23 | 41% 692-1008 (1700) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Overavg 36¢ | $18.54 | — | -$18.54 | 38% 1303-2129 (3432) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Overavg 27.6¢ | $8.33 | — | -$8.33 | 35% 612-1116 (1728) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Overavg 16.5¢ | $3.38 | — | -$3.38 | 39% 1502-2375 (3877) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Overavg 36¢ | $6.1 | — | -$6.1 | 38% 1276-2118 (3394) |
RN1CTR<$100 | Overavg 15¢ | $0.8 | — | -$0.8 | 54% 5936-5005 (10941) |
0X
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100Invested
$69
Value
$92
PnL
+$23
Record
41%
692-1008 (1700)
MA
MadridTimeCTR<$100Invested
$18.54
Value
—
PnL
-$18.54
Record
38%
1303-2129 (3432)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
$8.33
Value
—
PnL
-$8.33
Record
35%
612-1116 (1728)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$3.38
Value
—
PnL
-$3.38
Record
39%
1502-2375 (3877)
LI
LimousinCTR<$100Invested
$6.1
Value
—
PnL
-$6.1
Record
38%
1276-2118 (3394)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$0.8
Value
—
PnL
-$0.8
Record
54%
5936-5005 (10941)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8387bba4...e79ba7
Slug
mex2-clu-pir-2026-11-14-first-half-total-1pt5