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YesYesNo
VeryLucky888CTR<$100NoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Querétaro FC vs. CF Monterrey: Draw at halftime?
Resolved Yes. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
No 60%
Total Value
$26.29
Combined PnL
-$19.23
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes2 traders
Total Value$26.29
Total Shares26
Combined PnL+$6.03
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares86
Combined PnL-$25.26
Yes — 40%No — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LI LightParadox<$100 | Yesavg 78¢ | $19.03 | $24.4 | +$5.37 | 37% 1288-2159 (3447) |
SU suntori<$100 | Yesavg 65¢ | $1.23 | $1.89 | +$0.66 | 46% 3088-3615 (6703) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Noavg 16¢ | $7.89 | — | -$7.89 | 39% 1498-2355 (3853) |
VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Noavg 59¢ | $15.83 | — | -$15.83 | 53% 1793-1578 (3371) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Noavg 16¢ | $1.54 | — | -$1.54 | 53% 7402-6535 (13937) |
LI
LightParadox<$100Invested
$19.03
Value
$24.4
PnL
+$5.37
Record
37%
1288-2159 (3447)
SU
suntori<$100Invested
$1.23
Value
$1.89
PnL
+$0.66
Record
46%
3088-3615 (6703)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$7.89
Value
—
PnL
-$7.89
Record
39%
1498-2355 (3853)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$15.83
Value
—
PnL
-$15.83
Record
53%
1793-1578 (3371)
CI
cigarettesCTR<$100Invested
$1.54
Value
—
PnL
-$1.54
Record
53%
7402-6535 (13937)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0c2766be...5fc736
Slug
mex-que-mon1-2026-09-05-halftime-result-draw